Tag Archives: ‘Nervous’

Strong third-party candidate for U.S. president rattles nervous anti-Trumpers: Keith Boag

When news broke that Michigan congressman Justin Amash, an Independent, might suit up for the U.S. presidential race this year, a Never Trump Republican pundit, Tim Miller, fired off a dispirited tweet: “They are popping champagne in Trump Tower.”

A former Republican campaign operative, Miller says he loves Amash and would happily cheer his run for the presidency some other time, but not now. 

Miller is all in for Democrat Joe Biden, the former vice-president and presumptive nominee in November.

Miller summed up his thoughts in a post on the conservative Donald Trump resistance site The Bulwark co-authored with publisher Sarah Longwell. They asked Amash to stand down.

“Could we be certain that a third-party campaign from a Constitutional conservative would not get Trump re-elected?” they asked. “The answer, unfortunately, is no.”

One can imagine Democrats all over the U.S. greeted the Amash news with similar trepidation — heavy sighs, anxious bites of the lower lip — believing they already suffered through one third-party nightmare in the 2016 presidential election and don’t need another.

Suspicion of third-party runs

A big reason Hillary Clinton lost in 2016, goes a popular theory, is that she bled support to third-party candidates — mainly, Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein — in the three states that Donald Trump took by a whisker (a combined 77,000 votes) to win the electoral college and the presidency, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan.


Some observers believe Amash’s run is a gift to Donald Trump and the Republican Party, because it could bleed votes from the Democrats. (Drew Angerer/Getty Images)

 

There’s some evidence to back the theory but not enough to prove it. The last election was not an outstanding year for “also-rans,” but they still won more than five per cent of the popular vote in an election with a razor-thin result. 

If Amash can repeat that, and the race is narrow, he might be the spoiler who helps Trump to squeak back into the White House for another four years.

But that’s an enormous “if” in a political environment where since 2017, waves of anti-Trump voters have shown a single-minded determination to vote against Republicans in state and congressional elections.

Amash was elected to Congress in 2010 as a small-government Tea Party Republican from Michigan and re-elected four times after that. 

But he only began seeing his name in lights after he started publicly criticizing President Trump. 

Amash once called him a “childish bully.” He quit the Republican Party in 2019 to sit as an Independent and eventually cast a vote in favour of Trump’s impeachment. 

A Libertarian candidate

Last week, Amash announced that he’s switching again, from Independent to Libertarian this time, and will seek that party’s nomination for president in a few weeks. 

It’s not a perfect fit. For example, Amash is steadfastly anti-abortion while the Libertarian platform says it’s none of their business.


Amash, who got into Congress thanks in large part to his standing with small-government Tea Party Republicans, voted in favour of Trump’s impeachment last year. (Carly Geraci/Kalamazoo Gazette via AP)

But he knows if he’s the Libertarian nominee, that’s likely to get him registered for the ballot in all 50 states — a milestone qualification for any third-party candidate.

What’s in it for the Libertarians is that Amash is light-years closer to something like a household name than anyone else who is interested in leading them. 

Still, Amash will remain a long shot with no realistic chance of winning the White House, and that’s what annoys the Democrats and anti-Trumpers like Miller. They see Amash diverting votes from Biden, with no real benefit to anyone but Trump. 

Miller posted some statistics in the Bulwark column that showed the combined votes of conservative third-party presidential candidates in 2016 for Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan — votes that Miller believes could have gone to Clinton. In each state, the totals of those third-party votes vastly outnumbered Trump’s margin of victory. In other words, they were decisive then and could be again in 2020 — or so it seems to Miller.

Reliable scapegoats

The inconvenient truth is that both Democrats and Republicans routinely blame third parties for upending close elections whenever they lose one they think they should have won.

In 1992, businessman Ross Perot ran one of the most successful third-party campaigns in U.S. history. He got 19 per cent of the popular vote, but nothing in the electoral college, and Republican George H. W. Bush lost the election to Democrat Bill Clinton.

Bush’s deputy campaign manager, Mary Matalin, has said she “will go to my grave” believing that Perot’s campaign cost Bush the presidency.

Her husband, James Carville, who was coincidentally Clinton’s 1992 campaign consultant, has dismissed his wife’s argument as “supported by everything but evidence.” Indeed, subsequent investigations show Perot drew votes from both Bush and Clinton, with no impact on the final result.


Green Party presidential candidate Ralph Nader is seen by many as a spoiler who helped get George W. Bush elected in 2000. (Rick Bowner/Associated Press)

Former vice-president Al Gore lost the 2000 election, which was settled after a historically messed-up ballot-counting battle in Florida that Republican George W. Bush won by a measly 537 votes.

There were half a dozen also-rans on the ballot in Florida who racked up more votes than Bush’s winning margin, including Green Party candidate Ralph Nader, who got nearly 100,000 of them. 

Nader has pushed back against allegations that his campaign effectively elected Bush, saying that Gore wouldn’t have needed to win Florida if he’d just carried the state he was born in, Tennessee — which, embarrassingly for Gore, is true. 

The hometown advantage

A presidential candidate losing on his home turf isn’t really all that rare — Donald Trump did it most recently. But the perceived hometown advantage is also part of the calculus that’s shaking the knees of those fretting over Amash’s candidacy this year.

Here’s why: Amash is from Michigan, and would normally be expected to do well there. Michigan is likely to be a must-win state for both presidential candidates this year, so some Democrats reckon the biggest danger of Amash on the ballot is that he will cut into their crucial Michigan vote.

He won’t, or at least not by much, according to Richard Czuba, a nonpartisan Michigan pollster. He said there are more powerful forces at work in 2020 than there were in 2016.

“The big question to ask: ‘Does Amash make any difference if Democratic motivation is as high as it appears to be?” Czuba told the New York Times. “I don’t think it does.” 

WATCH | Hillary Clinton to Joe Biden: ‘I wish you were president right now’

Former U.S. presidential candidate Hillary Clinton endorses Joe Biden. 1:38

As Biden rolled over Sen. Bernie Sanders’ campaign in the Democratic primaries this spring, evidence piled up that Sanders had benefited significantly in the 2016 primaries from antipathy toward Hillary Clinton. Trump, presumably, had the same anti-Clinton advantage in the general election.

Without Clinton on the ballot this year, Trump no longer wins what Republicans in 2016 wryly dubbed the “double hater” vote — a small but important slice of the public that dislikes both presidential candidates, but grudgingly settled for Trump as the lesser evil. 

At the moment, deep data from a recent NBC poll reportedly has Biden sweeping the double haters by a hefty 50 points

It seems likely, then, that what matters in 2020 is less whether Justin Amash is on the presidential ballot as a Libertarian than the fact that Hillary Clinton isn’t on the ballot at all.

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Why Becky G Was Nervous to Go Country With Kane Brown Collaboration (Exclusive)

Becky G is going country! 

The “Sin Pijama” singer surprised Beasters when her Kane Brown collaboration, “Lost in the Middle of Nowhere,” dropped last week, and while country fans are loving the track, she admitted to ET’s Cassie DiLaura that she was a little nervous to step foot in that arena.  

“100 percent,” she confessed of her trepidation at the Spotify Secret Genius Awards in Los Angeles on Friday. “I think as an artist, especially in this day and age, there’s mixed emotions. There’s definitely this creative freedom, that I feel very liberated by… why do we have to be put into boxes? But at the same time, you’re like, ‘Am I going to be accepted in this genre? Am I going to be accepted by this community or this audience of fans?'”

“It’s been so amazing, because Kane himself, when you look at how he grew up and then how he became an artist and the music that he’s been making, we have so much in common as far as being new faces to the scene,” she continued. “I was so excited about the collaboration, not just because I was a fan of music, but because of him. I was a great fan of him, and I’m just so happy. I’m happy that it’s gone well.”

While this is Becky’s first country song, she’s definitely not a new listener. 

“I love all country music,” she revealed, sharing that she’s a big fan of Tim McGraw and George Straight’s ability to tell a story through music. “The core of it, it’s about sharing parts of your life, whether it’s from your imagination or things you’ve actually experienced, and I really appreciate that as a songwriter.” 

becky_g_gettyimages-1062721310.jpg

Gregg DeGuire/Getty Images

As for what’s next for the singer, Becky teased that more cross-genre collabs might be in her future. 

“First I started off as a rapper, then I went into pop music, then I started doing reggaeton music, and rapping in Spanish, and I did country,” she explained. “I think it would be interesting to do some kind of alternative rock situation. I would like to go back to my rap roots too. I would really love that.”

The 2018 Latin GRAMMY Awards in Las Vegas on Thursday seemed to be a hub for artists looking for their next collaboration. Find out who Karol G has on her wish list in the video below. 

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Mike 'The Situation' Sorrentino's Prison Date Pushed to 2019: 'He's Nervous But Resolved to See This Through'

Mike “The Situation” Sorrentino’s date to check himself into prison has been moved back to 2019, ET has learned.

Henry Klingeman, Sorrentino’s attorney, says he filed a request on behalf of the Jersey Shore: Family Vacation star to have his prison sentence begin after the holidays so he’d be able to spend that time with family. The judge allowed the request. This means that the 36-year-old will have to check himself in on Jan. 15, 2019.

According to Klingeman, his client is “doing great under the circumstances. He’s nervous but resolved to see this through as he has been since he got sober.”

Earlier this month, Sorrentino was sentenced to eight months in prison and two years of supervised release for tax evasion. Following his sentencing on Oct. 5, Sorrentino shared an optimistic message with fans and friends.

We are very happy to put this behind us. Thank you So much for all the Love & Support,” he captioned a photo of himself outside the federal courthouse with his Jersey Shore co-stars including Nicole “Snooki” Polizzi, Vinny Guadagnino, Deena Cortese, Pauly “DJ Pauly D” DelVecchio, Jenni “JWoww” Farley, Ronnie Ortiz-Magro and Angelina Pivarnick.

Less than a week later, Sorrentino revealed that he and his fiancée, Lauren Pesce, will be getting married on Nov. 1.

“#Thehitchuation is happening November 1st, 2018. I will be marrying @lauren_pesce My rock , my best friend, my better half & my soul mate . You are my everything & I am so excited to call you Mrs Situation 👰 #gymtanlaurens,” he captioned a photo of Pesce giving him a peck on the cheek.

 The pair met in college and got engaged in April.

Get more news on Sorrentino down below.

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Khloe Kardashian Admits She’s ‘Nervous’ About Breastfeeding But Plans to ‘Love It’

Khloe Kardashian isn’t afraid to get candid with her fans!

The 33-year-old pregnant reality star shared another stunning black-and-white portrait from her maternity shoot with boyfriend Tristan Thompson on Monday, which led to her chatting with one of her followers.

One commenter wrote: “Enjoy the pregnancy boobs now… when you start breastfeeding starts it’s going to be major leakage and then you’re not going to want to leakage and then you’re not going to want to see those boobs anymore… all of us went through it lol….. breastfeeding is no joke but it is a beautiful thing and a great bonding experience with your baby.”

Khloe replied to the remark, writing: “@bombshelldom oh my gosh lol I’m nervous about breastfeeding. I hear crazy things but I’ll fight through it and love it.”

As she awaits the arrival of her baby girl in the next few weeks, Khloe opened up in a new post on her app about the traits she hopes her little one inherits from both herself and Tristan.

Khloe Kardashian comment

Instagram

“I want maybe [Tristan]’s IQ and my street smarts,” she wrote. As for for charm, she quipped, “We are both charming but [Tristan] is pretty cute!”

The mom to be added that she wanted her daughter to have Tristan’s good looks and her work ethic.

For more on Khloe’s pregnancy, watch the clip below!

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